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Bradley Carnell, the Union and What the Latest Odds Mean for Philly’s MLS Cup Hopes

September 10, 2025 by Philadelphia Sports Nation

Bradley Carnell has turned the Union from a team in crisis to a contender.

With the playoffs secured and silverware in sight, the question now is whether his tactical edge and experience can finally deliver the MLS Cup to Philadelphia.


Bradley Carnell arrived in Philadelphia in January after the club’s worst campaign in seven years, limping to 12th place and, in doing so, did not qualify for the playoffs for the first time since 2017. The remit for the South African, as he replaced Jim Curtin, was simple: get the Union back to the postseason.


Reading Between the Odds

Nine months later, Carnell has exceeded expectations. The Union are virtually assured of a playoff spot and are favorites to win the Eastern Conference at +225. They’re also among the frontrunners for the MLS Cup in the latest betting odds at +1000, with only four clubs priced shorter. Lionel Messi’s Inter Miami currently leads the outright market at +450.

What makes those numbers intriguing is the dynamic they reveal. Philadelphia are fancied to top the East, yet Miami are expected to be more dangerous once the playoffs begin. That belief stems from the experience and quality of Miami’s roster, players who have navigated the biggest stages, from Champions League finals to World Cup triumphs. For Carnell and his Union squad, proving those markets wrong will be the ultimate test.

Carnell’s Road to Philadelphia

If you want to judge whether Carnell has the credentials to take the Union all the way, his coaching record speaks for itself. Before stepping into the dugout in Chester, Carnell had already built a decade of coaching experience across MLS and abroad. He cut his teeth as an assistant at the New York Red Bulls, where he learned under Jesse Marsch and later Chris Armas, before stepping up as interim boss in 2020. In that short stint, he kept the Red Bulls’ playoff streak alive, showing a steady hand under pressure.

The Red Bull Blueprint

PHOTO: Unsplash

You can see the Red Bull school in his work. From Marsch, Carnell has kept the ideas and philosophies that translate well in MLS: win the ball high, attack forward early, stay compact between the lines, then counterpress to keep opponents pinned in. It’s not just energy for the sake of it. The spacing is tight, the triggers are clear, and the first forward pass after a regain is encouraged rather than delayed.

A Squad Built to Execute

That framework fits the squad. Andre Blake, despite currently nursing a hamstring injury, remains the anchor of the group, bringing presence and clean decision-making that few MLS keepers can match. Key centre-back Jakob Glesnes, who recently signed a long-term contract, gives the defense stability and leadership. On the left flank, Kai Wagner delivers quality service that turns pressure into chances. In front of him, Quinn Sullivan adds energy and creativity in the attacking third.

Up front, Tai Baribo has given Carnell a willing runner to stretch teams and a focal point when the press forces mistakes. The latest markets list him at +1600 for the Golden Boot, making him a realistic contender but still some way behind Messi, who leads the race at -110. The roster has also been refreshed, with pieces like Jovan Lukic in midfield and Ben Bender adding depth and end product. Put together, it looks like a group built to execute the plan week after week, which bodes well for the autumn playoffs if Carnell can count on a clean bill of health.

Lessons from St. Louis

Carnell’s biggest breakthrough came in St. Louis, where he was handed the keys to a brand-new franchise and guided CITY SC to a record-breaking debut season in 2023. That campaign delivered a Western Conference top seed and wins that turned a fledgling team into a force. Results dipped the following year, leading to his exit midway through the 2024 season, but the experience of building a competitive roster from scratch added another layer to his coaching profile.

A Player’s Pedigree

Carnell’s playing career adds further weight to his credibility. A former Bafana Bafana left-back, he spent more than a decade in the Bundesliga with Stuttgart, Borussia Mönchengladbach, and Hansa Rostock, earning over 40 caps for South Africa and representing his country at the 2002 World Cup. That background at the top level of European soccer gives him an authority in the locker room that few MLS managers can match.


Philly’s Hope for Silverware

Since arriving in Philadelphia, Carnell has turned potential into results. His Union side plays with intensity and discipline, a reflection of the high-pressing philosophy he has refined throughout his coaching journey. It’s why the team has climbed back into the conversation as genuine contenders, and why fans at Subaru Park believe this could finally be the year the Union bring home an MLS Cup.

Whatever happens over the next few months, Carnell has already delivered on part of his promise. He has made the sun shine in Philadelphia again by giving the city a team it can be proud of. With silverware now within touching distance, the mild-mannered South African with a fierce competitive streak won’t be content with simply changing the mood.


Every waking minute will be spent chasing that first MLS Cup, so the rest of Philly can share in the moment.


The post Bradley Carnell, the Union and What the Latest Odds Mean for Philly’s MLS Cup Hopes appeared first on Philadelphia Sports Nation.

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