Although we are still months away from the NFL season kicking off, there is still much for fans to get excited about. Fans analyzing their team’s schedule week-by-week and predicting where they will be in the standings come season’s end. Overhyping their rookie draft picks (myself included) to match the overconfidence in their team before week 1.
For gamblers, these next couple months are filled with a different kind of excitement. Gamblers analyzing all teams’ schedules week-by-week and predicting what the final win-loss records will be at season’s end. In addition to selecting division winners, conference winners, Super Bowl winners, and the MVP for the upcoming season, all before training camp. A personal favorite of mine is season-long prop bets for offensive players, and this season is no different. The player is no different either, Miles Sanders.
(Derik Hamilton/Associated Press)
Coming off a strong rookie season, Sanders was primed for a strong 2020 season. Amassing 179 rushes for 818 yards and three touchdowns while catching 50 balls for 509 yards and another three touchdowns. With Jay Ajayi, Darren Sproles, and Jordan Howard gone to start the season, Sanders was the clear-cut RB1. Sportsbooks set his rushing yards total for the season at 1,000.5 rushing yards and my mouth start drooling. This was an easy over in my eyes since it was only 183 yards more than his rookie campaign. Until a training camp hamstring injury had Sanders starting week 1 from his couch.
The following five games proved Sanders was that dude. Putting up 434 yards and three touchdowns, which included back-to-back weeks of 74-yard rushes. With Sanders homerun ability, the confidence in the bet was back until a knee injury sidelined him for two weeks. Once he returned, he showed flashes of what can be, but a decimated offensive line, struggling quarterback play, and playing down for majority of these games limited Sanders. After missing week 17 matchup against Washington, the bet was officially dead.
(Bill Steicher/USA Today Sports)
Finishing 134 yards short after missing four games was a tough pill to swallow, on top of the dreadful 4-11-1 season. But now onto this upcoming 2021 season, Sanders’ rushing yards are set at 1,000.5 rushing yards again. Take into consideration that there is an additional game this season, so I am a little shocked to see the yardage did not increase. Nonetheless, I will take the bait and strongly believe the over is the play here. Especially taking into consideration how more run-friendly Coach Nick Sirianni appears over Coach Doug Pederson.
During the 2020 season, Sanders average of 5.3 yards per carry was good for 7th last season. Since joining the NFL in 2019, Sanders has a 4.9 yards per carry career average which ranks 5th amongst running backs during that span. Even during his time at Penn State, he averaged 6 yards a carry. Barring any injuries, Sanders is set up for a successful 2021 season.
For those in states where sports gambling is legal, take the over with confidence. But please remember to gamble responsibly.
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