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We’re just days away from the start of the NFL draft, and the next 72 hours will be mock draft projections, expert predictions, and fans clamoring to guess who their favorite teams will select.
ESPN’s Draft Day Predictor tool does a great job of estimating the percent chance prospects will be available at each pick.
Here is a behind-the-scenes peek at how ESPN analytics accomplishes that:
“The underlying model is based on prospect grades from Scouts Inc., expert mock drafts, team needs, and a few other factors. The Predictor considers these factors in proportion to how accurate they have been in the past.”
From the 15th-most likely selection down to the highest percentage of chances, the numbers tell us who could be available when Philadelphia is on the clock.